Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000100 0.000118 0.000137 0.000159 0.000182 0.000207 0.000236
2024-12-22 0.000079 0.000103 0.000130 0.000162 0.000199 0.000240 0.000289
2024-12-29 0.000066 0.000092 0.000123 0.000161 0.000207 0.000259 0.000321
2025-01-05 0.000055 0.000083 0.000117 0.000161 0.000216 0.000278 0.000356
2025-01-12 0.000045 0.000073 0.000109 0.000157 0.000216 0.000287 0.000376
2025-01-19 0.000041 0.000071 0.000110 0.000163 0.000232 0.000314 0.000418
2025-01-26 0.000034 0.000062 0.000102 0.000158 0.000231 0.000320 0.000435
2025-02-02 0.000029 0.000058 0.000099 0.000159 0.000238 0.000336 0.000464
2025-02-09 0.000025 0.000053 0.000095 0.000157 0.000241 0.000347 0.000486
2025-02-16 0.000023 0.000052 0.000097 0.000163 0.000255 0.000371 0.000525
2025-02-23 0.000020 0.000049 0.000095 0.000164 0.000261 0.000386 0.000552
2025-03-02 0.000017 0.000044 0.000089 0.000159 0.000259 0.000389 0.000565
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000041 0.000086 0.000159 0.000264 0.000403 0.000593
2025-03-16 0.000012 0.000037 0.000083 0.000159 0.000270 0.000417 0.000620
2025-03-23 0.000010 0.000035 0.000082 0.000161 0.000278 0.000435 0.000653
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000032 0.000079 0.000159 0.000280 0.000446 0.000676
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000029 0.000074 0.000155 0.000280 0.000452 0.000693
2025-04-13 0.000006 0.000029 0.000076 0.000161 0.000294 0.000477 0.000736
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000025 0.000071 0.000157 0.000292 0.000480 0.000750
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000024 0.000070 0.000157 0.000296 0.000494 0.000777
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000022 0.000067 0.000156 0.000299 0.000504 0.000799
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000022 0.000069 0.000162 0.000313 0.000530 0.000843
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000020 0.000068 0.000163 0.000319 0.000545 0.000873